Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.007031 0.007866 0.008778 0.009850 0.011078 0.012445 0.014089
2025-03-30 0.005899 0.007080 0.008480 0.010274 0.012529 0.015294 0.018976
2025-04-06 0.004975 0.006240 0.007820 0.009962 0.012824 0.016569 0.021924
2025-04-13 0.004330 0.005622 0.007304 0.009687 0.013035 0.017657 0.024674
2025-04-20 0.003921 0.005245 0.007030 0.009663 0.013528 0.019130 0.028117
2025-04-27 0.003698 0.005085 0.007019 0.009979 0.014512 0.021396 0.033057
2025-05-04 0.003413 0.004803 0.006797 0.009946 0.014949 0.022865 0.036932
2025-05-11 0.003196 0.004595 0.006655 0.010009 0.015523 0.024598 0.041496
2025-05-18 0.002966 0.004345 0.006424 0.009897 0.015788 0.025833 0.045352
2025-05-25 0.002818 0.004206 0.006346 0.010019 0.016447 0.027812 0.050894
2025-06-01 0.002645 0.004012 0.006165 0.009945 0.016748 0.029177 0.055458
2025-06-08 0.002434 0.003743 0.005838 0.009590 0.016502 0.029486 0.057906
2025-06-15 0.002295 0.003586 0.005693 0.009557 0.016879 0.031103 0.063584
2025-06-22 0.002246 0.003574 0.005794 0.009977 0.018172 0.034743 0.074567
2025-06-29 0.002081 0.003355 0.005519 0.009675 0.018011 0.035358 0.078619
2025-07-06 0.001939 0.003164 0.005276 0.009409 0.017891 0.036039 0.082972
2025-07-13 0.001845 0.003051 0.005165 0.009386 0.018265 0.037856 0.090621
2025-07-20 0.001805 0.003030 0.005219 0.009691 0.019373 0.041513 0.104070
2025-07-27 0.001723 0.002928 0.005112 0.009660 0.019739 0.043475 0.113270
2025-08-03 0.001659 0.002853 0.005053 0.009720 0.020316 0.046045 0.124928
2025-08-10 0.001580 0.002745 0.004921 0.009612 0.020490 0.047616 0.133919
2025-08-17 0.001532 0.002694 0.004895 0.009730 0.021213 0.050740 0.148803
2025-08-24 0.001467 0.002604 0.004787 0.009658 0.021465 0.052638 0.160116